Not politicians, not sanctions – only the battlefield will determine when the war will be over

“How to end the war” is more than the wrong question. Right now, it’s a malign diversion. Instead of sticking with the Ukrainians, instead of asking them what they need, we’re asking them what they’ll settle for. […] The end of the war will not be decided in Washington or London but in Bakhmut, Zaporizhia and Kherson, in the places where courage, firepower, strategy and tactics will make the difference.

A tale of four cities

Russia tried to crush the will of the people in Budapest in 1956, Prague in 1968 and Warsaw in 1981, and failed each time. Kyiv in 2022 will be the same – the question is how long it will take, and at what cost.

The End of Intervention?

In 2014 we’re in a new world, split in two between authoritarian regimes and democratic ones, a world so split over the use of force to protect civilians that both sides serve each other parodic versions of the other’s argument. All the countries that face Putin will now want security guarantees.